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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Tuscarawas Valley
East Knox

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Tuscarawas Valley 2 · East Knox 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:37 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Tuscarawas Valley

WINNER

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 62.5
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 53.9%
Offensive Rating: 58.7
Defensive Rating: 71.3
Momentum: Up (1.0)

East Knox

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 61.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 46.1%
Offensive Rating: 57.2
Defensive Rating: 77.2
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Tuscarawas Valley -1.2

OVER/UNDER

45 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

East Knox by 33.6 to Tuscarawas Valley by 35.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Tuscarawas Valley Style:

Defensive

East Knox Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

East Knox defense vs Tuscarawas Valley offense - advantage East Knox

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest

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