Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Tuscarawas Central Catholic 2 · St. Thomas Aquinas 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:10 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Tuscarawas Central Catholic
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
St Thomas Aquinas
WINNER21
Range: 3.7-38.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
St. Thomas Aquinas -1.2
OVER/UNDER
40 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
St. Thomas Aquinas by 36.6 to Tuscarawas Central Catholic by 32.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Tuscarawas Central Catholic Style:
Balanced
St. Thomas Aquinas Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Tuscarawas Central Catholic defense vs St. Thomas Aquinas offense - advantage Tuscarawas Central Catholic
Insights:
- St. Thomas Aquinas has momentum advantage
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