Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Tippecanoe 2 · Fairborn 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Tippecanoe
22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Fairborn
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Fairborn -4
OVER/UNDER
47 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Fairborn by 37.6 to Tippecanoe by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Tippecanoe Style:
Defensive
Fairborn Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Fairborn defense vs Tippecanoe offense - advantage Fairborn
Insights:
- Fairborn has momentum advantage
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