Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Avon Lake 2 · Medina Highland 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:44 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Avon Lake
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Highland
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Medina Highland -4.4
OVER/UNDER
39.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Medina Highland by 38.6 to Avon Lake by 30.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Avon Lake Style:
Defensive
Medina Highland Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Avon Lake defense vs Medina Highland offense - advantage Avon Lake
Insights:
- Medina Highland has momentum advantage
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