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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Swanton
Ottawa Hills

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Swanton 2 · Ottawa Hills 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Swanton

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 45.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 21.8%
Offensive Rating: 20.3
Defensive Rating: 51.6
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Ottawa Hills

WINNER

26

Range: 8.7-43.3

OSPR Rating: 61.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 78.2%
Offensive Rating: 75.3
Defensive Rating: 65.7
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Ottawa Hills -9.6

OVER/UNDER

42.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Ottawa Hills by 43.3 to Swanton by 24.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Swanton Style:

Defensive

Ottawa Hills Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Ottawa Hills defense vs Swanton offense - advantage Ottawa Hills

Insights:

  • Ottawa Hills has momentum advantage

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