Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Austintown-Fitch 1 · Painesville Riverside 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Austintown-Fitch
19
Range: 1-37
Riverside
WINNER23
Range: 5-41
PREDICTED SPREAD
Painesville Riverside -4.3
OVER/UNDER
42.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Painesville Riverside by 40 to Austintown-Fitch by 32
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Austintown-Fitch Style:
Defensive
Painesville Riverside Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Painesville Riverside defense vs Austintown-Fitch offense - advantage Painesville Riverside
Insights:
- Painesville Riverside has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.