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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Springfield
Coventry

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Akron Springfield 2 · Coventry 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Springfield

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 37.6
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 44.3%
Offensive Rating: 2.8
Defensive Rating: 48.8
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Coventry

WINNER

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 35.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 55.7%
Offensive Rating: 19.7
Defensive Rating: 40.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Coventry -1.7

OVER/UNDER

37.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Coventry by 36.6 to Akron Springfield by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Akron Springfield Style:

Defensive

Coventry Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Coventry defense vs Akron Springfield offense - advantage Coventry

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest

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