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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Shawnee
Elida

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lima Shawnee 2 · Elida 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Shawnee

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 49.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 48.6%
Offensive Rating: 56.6
Defensive Rating: 43.5
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Elida

WINNER

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 53.5
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 51.4%
Offensive Rating: 74.7
Defensive Rating: 70.1
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Elida -0.4

OVER/UNDER

44 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Elida by 35.6 to Lima Shawnee by 33.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lima Shawnee Style:

Offensive

Elida Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Elida offense vs Lima Shawnee defense - advantage Elida

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