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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Sandusky
Canton Mckinley Senior

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Sandusky 2 · Canton McKinley 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Sandusky

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 37.3
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 44.6%
Offensive Rating: 27.8
Defensive Rating: 11.3
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Canton Mckinley Senior

WINNER

21

Range: 3.7-38.3

OSPR Rating: 52.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 55.4%
Offensive Rating: 49.4
Defensive Rating: 68.2
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Canton McKinley -1.6

OVER/UNDER

40 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Canton McKinley by 36.6 to Sandusky by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Sandusky Style:

Offensive

Canton McKinley Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Canton McKinley defense vs Sandusky offense - advantage Canton McKinley

Insights:

  • Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
  • Canton McKinley has momentum advantage

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