Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Fremont St. Joseph 1 · Chalker 1
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
St. Joseph Central Catholic
21
Range: 2.3-39.7
Chalker
WINNER27
Range: 8.3-45.7
PREDICTED SPREAD
Chalker -5.9
OVER/UNDER
47.5 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Chalker by 43.4 to Fremont St. Joseph by 31.4
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Fremont St. Joseph Style:
Balanced
Chalker Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Chalker offense vs Fremont St. Joseph defense - advantage Chalker
Insights:
- Fremont St. Joseph has momentum advantage
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