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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

St John's
Marion Local

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Delphos St. John's 2 · Marion Local 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:47 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

St John's

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 48.4
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 22.8%
Offensive Rating: 47.2
Defensive Rating: 54.1
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Marion Local

WINNER

27

Range: 9.7-44.3

OSPR Rating: 64.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 77.2%
Offensive Rating: 89.7
Defensive Rating: 57.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Marion Local -9.1

OVER/UNDER

44.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Marion Local by 43.6 to Delphos St. John's by 25.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Delphos St. John's Style:

Balanced

Marion Local Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Marion Local offense vs Delphos St. John's defense - advantage Marion Local

Insights:

  • Marion Local has momentum advantage

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