Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Toledo St. Francis 2 · Perkins 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
St Francis De Sales
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Perkins
WINNER26
Range: 8.7-43.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Perkins -7.7
OVER/UNDER
44 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Perkins by 42.6 to Toledo St. Francis by 26.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Toledo St. Francis Style:
Offensive
Perkins Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Perkins offense vs Toledo St. Francis defense - advantage Perkins
Insights:
- Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
- Perkins has momentum advantage
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