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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Ross
Northwest

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Ross 2 · Cincinnati Northwest 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:34 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Ross

21

Range: 3.7-38.3

OSPR Rating: 51.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 42.1%
Offensive Rating: 56.2
Defensive Rating: 66.6
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Northwest

WINNER

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 60.0
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 57.9%
Offensive Rating: 47.8
Defensive Rating: 64.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Cincinnati Northwest -2.4

OVER/UNDER

44 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Cincinnati Northwest by 36.6 to Ross by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Ross Style:

Defensive

Cincinnati Northwest Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Ross defense vs Cincinnati Northwest offense - advantage Ross

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
  • Cincinnati Northwest has momentum advantage

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