Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Kent Roosevelt 2 · Ellet 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:16 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Kent Roosevelt
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Ellet
17
Range: 0-34.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Kent Roosevelt -4.7
OVER/UNDER
39.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Ellet by 29.6 to Kent Roosevelt by 39.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Kent Roosevelt Style:
Balanced
Ellet Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Kent Roosevelt defense vs Ellet offense - advantage Kent Roosevelt
Insights:
- Ellet has momentum advantage
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