Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Roger Bacon 2 · Hughes 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Roger Bacon
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
Hughes
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Hughes -5.7
OVER/UNDER
41 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Hughes by 39.6 to Roger Bacon by 29.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Roger Bacon Style:
Offensive
Hughes Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Hughes offense vs Roger Bacon defense - advantage Hughes
Insights:
- Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
- Hughes has momentum advantage
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