Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Archbishop Alter 2 · Taft 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Archbishop Alter
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
Taft
16
Range: 0-33.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Archbishop Alter -8.8
OVER/UNDER
41 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Taft by 25.6 to Archbishop Alter by 42.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Archbishop Alter Style:
Defensive
Taft Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Archbishop Alter defense vs Taft offense - advantage Archbishop Alter
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Archbishop Alter
- Archbishop Alter has momentum advantage
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