Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Cathedral 2 · St. Xavier 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:18 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Cathedral
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
St Xavier
23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Cathedral -1
OVER/UNDER
46.5 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
St. Xavier by 33.6 to Cathedral by 35.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Cathedral Style:
Defensive
St. Xavier Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Cathedral defense vs St. Xavier offense - advantage Cathedral
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- St. Xavier has momentum advantage
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