Skip to main content

Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Bishop Chatard
Roncalli

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Bishop Chatard 2 · Roncalli 1

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:47 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Bishop Chatard

WINNER

26

Range: 8-44

OSPR Rating: 62.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 53.6%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 82.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Roncalli

25

Range: 7-43

OSPR Rating: 64.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 46.4%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Bishop Chatard -1.1

OVER/UNDER

51 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Roncalli by 35 to Bishop Chatard by 37

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Bishop Chatard Style:

Offensive

Roncalli Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Roncalli offense vs Bishop Chatard defense - advantage Roncalli

Insights:

  • Bishop Chatard has momentum advantage

Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.