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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

River Valley
Buckeye Valley

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

River Valley 2 · Buckeye Valley 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

River Valley

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 36.7
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 38.4%
Offensive Rating: 12.2
Defensive Rating: 26.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Buckeye Valley

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 51.5
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 61.6%
Offensive Rating: 42.8
Defensive Rating: 70.7
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Buckeye Valley -3.6

OVER/UNDER

39.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Buckeye Valley by 38.6 to River Valley by 30.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

River Valley Style:

Defensive

Buckeye Valley Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Buckeye Valley defense vs River Valley offense - advantage Buckeye Valley

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
  • Buckeye Valley has momentum advantage

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