Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Arcanum 2 · Dixie 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:14 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Arcanum
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
Dixie
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Dixie -3
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Dixie by 37.6 to Arcanum by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Arcanum Style:
Balanced
Dixie Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Arcanum defense vs Dixie offense - advantage Arcanum
Insights:
- Dixie has momentum advantage
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