Skip to main content

Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Ridgedale
North Baltimore

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Ridgedale 2 · North Baltimore 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Ridgedale

14

Range: 0-31.3

OSPR Rating: 34.3
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 14.7%
Offensive Rating: 16.9
Defensive Rating: 12.6
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

North Baltimore

WINNER

27

Range: 9.7-44.3

OSPR Rating: 63.6
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 85.3%
Offensive Rating: 99.7
Defensive Rating: 61.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

North Baltimore -13.2

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

44 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

North Baltimore by 44.3 to Ridgedale by 21.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Ridgedale Style:

Balanced

North Baltimore Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

North Baltimore offense vs Ridgedale defense - advantage North Baltimore

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors North Baltimore
  • North Baltimore has momentum advantage

Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.