Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Plymouth 2 · Wellington 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Plymouth
WINNER21
Range: 3.7-38.3
Wellington
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Plymouth -3.6
OVER/UNDER
39 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Wellington by 31.6 to Plymouth by 37.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Plymouth Style:
Offensive
Wellington Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Plymouth offense vs Wellington defense - advantage Plymouth
Insights:
- Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
- Wellington has momentum advantage
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