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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Perry
Cory-Rawson

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lima Perry 2 · Cory-Rawson 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Perry

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 51.4
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 68.7%
Offensive Rating: 45.6
Defensive Rating: 46.3
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Cory-Rawson

16

Range: 0-33.3

OSPR Rating: 34.9
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 31.3%
Offensive Rating: 10.3
Defensive Rating: 14.4
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Lima Perry -5.9

OVER/UNDER

38 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Cory-Rawson by 28.6 to Lima Perry by 39.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lima Perry Style:

Balanced

Cory-Rawson Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Lima Perry defense vs Cory-Rawson offense - advantage Lima Perry

Insights:

  • Cory-Rawson has momentum advantage

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