Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Ponitz 2 · Archbishop Carroll 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Ponitz Career Technology Center
17
Range: 0-34.3
Archbishop Carroll
WINNER20
Range: 2.7-37.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Archbishop Carroll -3.8
OVER/UNDER
37 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Archbishop Carroll by 37.3 to Ponitz by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Ponitz Style:
Balanced
Archbishop Carroll Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Archbishop Carroll offense vs Ponitz defense - advantage Archbishop Carroll
Insights:
- Archbishop Carroll has momentum advantage
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