Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Paint Valley 2 · McClain 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Paint Valley
17
Range: 0-34.3
McClain
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
McClain -6.8
OVER/UNDER
40.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
McClain by 41.3 to Paint Valley by 27.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Paint Valley Style:
Offensive
McClain Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
McClain offense vs Paint Valley defense - advantage McClain
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors McClain
- McClain has momentum advantage
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