Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Ontario 2 · Tiffin Columbian 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Ontario
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
Columbian
21
Range: 3.7-38.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Ontario -3.7
OVER/UNDER
46 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Tiffin Columbian by 30.6 to Ontario by 38.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Ontario Style:
Balanced
Tiffin Columbian Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Ontario defense vs Tiffin Columbian offense - advantage Ontario
Insights:
- Ontario has momentum advantage
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