Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Northwood 2 · Norwalk St. Paul 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Northwood
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
St Paul
16
Range: 0-33.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Northwood -7.1
OVER/UNDER
40 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Norwalk St. Paul by 26.6 to Northwood by 41.3
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Northwood Style:
Offensive
Norwalk St. Paul Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Northwood defense vs Norwalk St. Paul offense - advantage Northwood
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
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