Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Canal Fulton Northwest 2 · Canton Central Catholic 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Northwest
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
Canton Central Catholic
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Canal Fulton Northwest -4.1
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Canton Central Catholic by 29.6 to Canal Fulton Northwest by 39.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Canal Fulton Northwest Style:
Defensive
Canton Central Catholic Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Canal Fulton Northwest defense vs Canton Central Catholic offense - advantage Canal Fulton Northwest
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Canal Fulton Northwest has momentum advantage
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