Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
River Rouge 0 · Birmingham Brother Rice 1
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
River Rouge
17
Range: 0-36.35
Birmingham Brother Rice
WINNER25
Range: 5.65-44.35
PREDICTED SPREAD
Birmingham Brother Rice -8.7
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Birmingham Brother Rice by 44.35 to River Rouge by 30.7
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
River Rouge Style:
Defensive
Birmingham Brother Rice Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Birmingham Brother Rice defense vs River Rouge offense - advantage Birmingham Brother Rice
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Birmingham Brother Rice has momentum advantage
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