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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

North Union
Northmor

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

North Union 2 · Northmor 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

North Union

WINNER

26

Range: 8.7-43.3

OSPR Rating: 66.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 72.1%
Offensive Rating: 99.4
Defensive Rating: 91.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Northmor

18

Range: 0.7-35.3

OSPR Rating: 38.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 27.9%
Offensive Rating: 41.2
Defensive Rating: 10.7
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

North Union -7.1

OVER/UNDER

44 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Northmor by 26.6 to North Union by 42.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

North Union Style:

Balanced

Northmor Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

North Union offense vs Northmor defense - advantage North Union

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors North Union
  • North Union has momentum advantage

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