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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Lumen Christi
Harvest Preparatory

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Lumen Christi 1 · Harvest Prep 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Lumen Christi

WINNER

23

Range: 5-41

OSPR Rating: 63.5
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 56.9%
Offensive Rating: 72.1
Defensive Rating: 95.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Harvest Preparatory

21

Range: 3-39

OSPR Rating: 39.7
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 43.1%
Offensive Rating: 58.1
Defensive Rating: 26.3
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Lumen Christi -2.1

OVER/UNDER

44.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Harvest Prep by 34 to Lumen Christi by 38

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Lumen Christi Style:

Defensive

Harvest Prep Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Lumen Christi offense vs Harvest Prep defense - advantage Lumen Christi

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Lumen Christi
  • Lumen Christi has momentum advantage

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