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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Detroit King
Orchard Lake St. Mary

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Detroit King 1 · Orchard Lake St. Mary 1

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:34 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Detroit King

25

Range: 6.3-43.7

OSPR Rating: 58.8
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 42.7%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Orchard Lake St. Mary

WINNER

27

Range: 8.3-45.7

OSPR Rating: 66.0
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 57.3%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Orchard Lake St. Mary -2.2

OVER/UNDER

52 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Orchard Lake St. Mary by 39.4 to Detroit King by 35.4

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Detroit King Style:

Balanced

Orchard Lake St. Mary Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Detroit King defense vs Orchard Lake St. Mary offense - advantage Detroit King

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