Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Simon Kenton 2 · Covington Catholic 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Simon Kenton
21
Range: 3.7-38.3
Covington Catholic
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Covington Catholic -3.4
OVER/UNDER
46 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Covington Catholic by 38.6 to Simon Kenton by 30.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Simon Kenton Style:
Balanced
Covington Catholic Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Covington Catholic offense vs Simon Kenton defense - advantage Covington Catholic
Insights:
- Simon Kenton has momentum advantage
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