Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Montpelier 2 · Edgerton 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Montpelier
WINNER22
Range: 4.7-39.3
Edgerton
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Montpelier -2.8
OVER/UNDER
41.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Edgerton by 31.6 to Montpelier by 37.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Montpelier Style:
Defensive
Edgerton Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Montpelier offense vs Edgerton defense - advantage Montpelier
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Montpelier
- Montpelier has momentum advantage
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