Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Monroe Central 2 · Richmond Edison 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Monroe Central
WINNER25
Range: 7.7-42.3
Edison
18
Range: 0.7-35.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Monroe Central -7.8
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Richmond Edison by 27.6 to Monroe Central by 41.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Monroe Central Style:
Defensive
Richmond Edison Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Monroe Central defense vs Richmond Edison offense - advantage Monroe Central
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Monroe Central
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Monroe Central has momentum advantage
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