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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Miami Trace
Logan Elm

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Miami Trace 2 · Logan Elm 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:09 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Miami Trace

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 49.9
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 37.6%
Offensive Rating: 56.9
Defensive Rating: 42.2
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Logan Elm

WINNER

23

Range: 5.7-40.3

OSPR Rating: 49.6
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 62.4%
Offensive Rating: 81.9
Defensive Rating: 28.2
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Logan Elm -3.8

OVER/UNDER

42.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Logan Elm by 38.6 to Miami Trace by 30.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Miami Trace Style:

Offensive

Logan Elm Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Logan Elm offense vs Miami Trace defense - advantage Logan Elm

Insights:

  • Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring

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