Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Mentor 2 · St. Ignatius 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:01 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Mentor
WINNER24
Range: 6.7-41.3
St Ignatius
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Mentor -5.5
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
213 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
St. Ignatius by 29.6 to Mentor by 39.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Mentor Style:
Offensive
St. Ignatius Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Mentor offense vs St. Ignatius defense - advantage Mentor
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Mentor has momentum advantage
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