Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Wirt County 0 · Magnolia 1
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Wirt County
WINNER25
Range: 5.65-44.35
Magnolia
15
Range: 0-34.35
PREDICTED SPREAD
Wirt County -10.8
OVER/UNDER
40 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
44 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Magnolia by 28.7 to Wirt County by 44.35
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Wirt County Style:
Offensive
Magnolia Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Wirt County offense vs Magnolia defense - advantage Wirt County
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Wirt County
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Magnolia has momentum advantage
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