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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Weir
John Marshall

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Weir 1 · John Marshall 1

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 12:17 AM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Weir

12

Range: 0-30.7

OSPR Rating: 31.5
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 18.7%
Offensive Rating: 3.4
Defensive Rating: 2.5
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

John Marshall

WINNER

23

Range: 4.3-41.7

OSPR Rating: 48.8
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 81.3%
Offensive Rating: 58.4
Defensive Rating: 0.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

John Marshall -11

OVER/UNDER

35 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

44 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

John Marshall by 41.7 to Weir by 26.4

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 44 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Weir Style:

Balanced

John Marshall Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

John Marshall offense vs Weir defense - advantage John Marshall

Insights:

  • John Marshall has momentum advantage

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