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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Oak Glen
River

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Oak Glen 1 · River 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Oak Glen

21

Range: 3-39

OSPR Rating: 58.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 31.2%
Offensive Rating: 59.7
Defensive Rating: 96.1
Momentum: Up (1.0)

River

WINNER

27

Range: 9-45

OSPR Rating: 64.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 68.8%
Offensive Rating: 88.4
Defensive Rating: 86.6
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

River -5.9

OVER/UNDER

48.5 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

213 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

River by 42 to Oak Glen by 30

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 213 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Oak Glen Style:

Defensive

River Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

River defense vs Oak Glen offense - advantage River

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